TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13037049
Played Aug 28Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.46
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11712101311––––
Tomasz Stachera
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
64 points played in total.
Set by set
11712101311––––
H2H Damian Bucko 6–4 Tomasz Stachera Tomasz Stachera has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Bucko
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1569 vs Stachera 1504
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 80% vs Stachera 20%
Bucko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 60% vs Stachera 30%
Bucko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -1 · Stachera -4
Stachera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.46 / Stachera 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bucko)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13037049
Bucko1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 37 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Stachera2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko6wins
AwayStachera4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko62.5%5 of 8
AwayStacheran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko8Stachera2n = 10Bucko took 8 of 10
S2Bucko6Stachera4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Bucko5Stachera5n = 10split evenly
S4Bucko5Stachera4n = 9Bucko took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoStacheraB − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.840.9+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 601 vs 118 / 25656.2%46.1%338 / 601 vs 118 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.46/Stachera 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.7%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko—118111172T. Stachera—911913113
LApr 29 · 21:30D. Bucko—12117161T. Stachera—101311183
WApr 29 · 14:30D. Bucko—11118123T. Stachera—6911101
WApr 28 · 19:30D. Bucko—91312123T. Stachera—111110101
LFeb 2 · 15:30D. Bucko—1110121392T. Stachera—9121015113
WNov 3 · 15:30D. Bucko—12116113T. Stachera—1081191
WOct 3 · 18:05D. Bucko—1111143T. Stachera—98120
LOct 1 · 16:30D. Bucko—811971T. Stachera—11211113
WSep 30 · 14:00D. Bucko—111115113T. Stachera—861761
WSep 18 · 18:30D. Bucko—11911113T. Stachera—611671
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181WAug 21 · 15:30G. Rokita2.951261151T. Stachera1.3114116113
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