TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12471618
Played Aug 21Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119511112711119
Tomasz Stachera
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomasz Stachera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
119511112711119
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 8–7 Tomasz Stachera Tomasz Stachera has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Stachera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1556 vs Stachera 1543
Zapala
Correct
both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 60% vs Stachera 40%
Zapala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 60% vs Stachera 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -2 · Stachera +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stachera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.86 / Stachera 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stachera)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #12471618
Zapala1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog42% won 87 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back10% 6 of 59
Stachera1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 7 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala4wins
AwayStachera6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStachera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala60%3 of 5
AwayStachera80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala5Stachera5n = 10split evenly
S2Zapala8Stachera2n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S3Zapala4Stachera6n = 10Stachera took 6 of 10
S4Zapala4Stachera4n = 8split evenly
S5Zapala0Stachera4n = 4Stachera took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaStacheraZ − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.2−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 673 vs 124 / 26345.8%47.2%308 / 673 vs 124 / 263Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StacheraZapala 1.86/Stachera 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stachera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 8 · 17:30K. Zapala—11129113T. Stachera—7101191
LJul 2 · 14:30K. Zapala—11115382T. Stachera—591111113
LJun 25 · 18:30K. Zapala—91191392T. Stachera—1191111113
WMay 27 · 22:40K. Zapala—101411113T. Stachera—1212891
LMay 27 · 20:30K. Zapala—61112552T. Stachera—1181011113
WMay 21 · 18:30K. Zapala—1111113T. Stachera—8880
LApr 20 · 21:30K. Zapala—9112121T. Stachera—11911143
LApr 20 · 16:30K. Zapala—11128962T. Stachera—1101111113
LMar 31 · 21:30K. Zapala—5770T. Stachera—1111113
WMar 31 · 16:30K. Zapala—12911113T. Stachera—1011881
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181WAug 21 · 15:30G. Rokita2.951261151T. Stachera1.3114116113
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