TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12471620
Played Aug 21Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1198111191113711
Tomasz Stachera
Away
2.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:02 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
1198111191113711
H2H Damian Bucko 6–3 Tomasz Stachera Tomasz Stachera has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:02What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1564 vs Stachera 1531
Bucko
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Stachera 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Stachera 60%
Stachera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko +1 · Stachera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Bucko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.62 / Stachera 2.06
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Bucko)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12471620
Bucko1.62
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 35 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Stachera2.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBucko6wins
AwayStachera3wins
1 of 9 to a deciderBucko leads 6–3, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko71.4%5 of 7
AwayStacheran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko7Stachera2n = 9Bucko took 7 of 9
S2Bucko6Stachera3n = 9Bucko took 6 of 9
S3Bucko4Stachera5n = 9Stachera took 5 of 9
S4Bucko5Stachera3n = 8Bucko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home556%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricBuckoStacheraB − SBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match43.339.6+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 607 vs 123 / 26256.5%47%343 / 607 vs 123 / 262Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.62/Stachera 2.06
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stachera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LApr 29 · 21:30D. Bucko—12117161T. Stachera—101311183
WApr 29 · 14:30D. Bucko—11118123T. Stachera—6911101
WApr 28 · 19:30D. Bucko—91312123T. Stachera—111110101
LFeb 2 · 15:30D. Bucko—1110121392T. Stachera—9121015113
WNov 3 · 15:30D. Bucko—12116113T. Stachera—1081191
WOct 3 · 18:05D. Bucko—1111143T. Stachera—98120
LOct 1 · 16:30D. Bucko—811971T. Stachera—11211113
WSep 30 · 14:00D. Bucko—111115113T. Stachera—861761
WSep 18 · 18:30D. Bucko—11911113T. Stachera—611671
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181WAug 21 · 15:30G. Rokita2.951261151T. Stachera1.3114116113
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