TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12467796
Played Aug 21Finished
Gracjan Rokita
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1214611116511––
Tomasz Stachera
Away
1.31
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:44 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeTomasz Stachera to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1214611116511––
H2H Gracjan Rokita 2–12 Tomasz Stachera Gracjan Rokita has won 2 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.31 (69%)
Stachera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-12 in 14
Stachera
Correct
gap of 10 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rokita 1381 vs Stachera 1537
Stachera
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rokita 40% vs Stachera 60%
Stachera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rokita 30% vs Stachera 60%
Stachera
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rokita -1 · Stachera -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Stachera) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRokita 2.95 / Stachera 1.31
Signal prob.22% / 78%
Edge (Stachera)+8.8pp
TT Cup · #12467796
Rokita2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Stachera1.31
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 7 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRokita2wins
AwayStachera8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderStachera leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRokitan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayStachera100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rokita2Stachera8n = 10Stachera took 8 of 10
S2Rokita2Stachera8n = 10Stachera took 8 of 10
S3Rokita4Stachera6n = 10Stachera took 6 of 10
S4Rokita3Stachera3n = 6split evenly
S5Rokita1Stachera2n = 3Stachera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRokitaStacheraR − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.339.0−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRokitaStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 230 vs 122 / 26034.4%46.9%79 / 230 vs 122 / 260Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StacheraRokita 2.95/Stachera 1.31
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78%
Stachera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stachera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 17:00G. Rokita—101181192T. Stachera—127116113
LApr 28 · 21:00G. Rokita—8770T. Stachera—1111113
WApr 20 · 19:00G. Rokita—116118113T. Stachera—51181152
LFeb 23 · 17:30G. Rokita—781121T. Stachera—11119113
LDec 1 · 17:30G. Rokita—6780T. Stachera—1111113
LNov 19 · 17:05G. Rokita—651191T. Stachera—11116113
LNov 3 · 20:00G. Rokita—8990T. Stachera—1111113
WOct 29 · 19:05G. Rokita—11117113T. Stachera—771181
LSep 30 · 21:40G. Rokita—851112112T. Stachera—1111810133
LSep 30 · 18:30G. Rokita—72130T. Stachera—1111153
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181
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