TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12471725
Played Aug 21Finished
Gracjan Rokita
Home
2.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
41116141113119119
Damian Bucko
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:35 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
109 points played in total.
Set by set
41116141113119119
H2H Gracjan Rokita 10–13 Damian Bucko Gracjan Rokita has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:35What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (60%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rokita 1379 vs Bucko 1552
Bucko
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rokita 20% vs Bucko 40%
Bucko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rokita 30% vs Bucko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rokita +1 · Bucko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRokita 2.30 / Bucko 1.55
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Bucko)+8.0pp
TT Cup · #12471725
Rokita2.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Bucko1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 35 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 24 of 32
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRokita5wins
AwayBucko5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRokita100%4 of 4
AwayBucko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rokita4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S2Rokita6Bucko4n = 10Rokita took 6 of 10
S3Rokita5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S4Rokita3Bucko3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRokitaBuckoR − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.137.9−0.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRokitaBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 234 vs 343 / 60734.2%56.5%80 / 234 vs 343 / 607Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoRokita 2.30/Bucko 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.7%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rokita won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 19:00G. Rokita—1281111113D. Bucko—101141362
LApr 28 · 15:30G. Rokita—413121162D. Bucko—1115109113
WJan 17 · 09:05G. Rokita—81111133D. Bucko—1179111
WJan 7 · 23:30G. Rokita—1111113D. Bucko—8770
LJan 7 · 22:00G. Rokita—92160D. Bucko—1111183
WDec 22 · 22:40G. Rokita—1111113D. Bucko—9890
LDec 22 · 22:00G. Rokita—911971D. Bucko—11811113
WNov 3 · 22:00G. Rokita—11137113D. Bucko—9111191
LOct 22 · 17:05G. Rokita—97100D. Bucko—1111123
LOct 13 · 21:30G. Rokita—711681D. Bucko—11511113
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113
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