TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12468110
Played Aug 21Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.34
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151210116––––
Gracjan Rokita
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:44 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1151210116––––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 9–7 Gracjan Rokita Gracjan Rokita has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Zapala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Zapala
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1570 vs Rokita 1374
Zapala
Correct
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 80% vs Rokita 20%
Zapala
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 60% vs Rokita 30%
Zapala
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala +2 · Rokita -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rokita form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.34 / Rokita 2.85
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Zapala)+9.0pp
TT Cup · #12468110
Zapala1.34
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 60 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it78% 49 of 63
Rokita2.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayRokita5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala62.5%5 of 8
AwayRokitan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala8Rokita2n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S2Zapala6Rokita4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S3Zapala7Rokita3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S4Zapala4Rokita2n = 6Zapala took 4 of 6
S5Zapala0Rokita5n = 5Rokita took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaRokitaZ − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.835.7+6.1per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaRokitaBasisWin rate · lifetime306 / 669 vs 79 / 23145.7%34.2%306 / 669 vs 79 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.34/Rokita 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 22:00K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—4960
LAug 19 · 16:00K. Zapala—11711962G. Rokita—711711113
WAug 13 · 16:00K. Zapala—1111123G. Rokita—37100
LAug 11 · 16:00K. Zapala—114914132G. Rokita—6111112153
WJun 7 · 09:35K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—7430
WMay 9 · 17:35K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—7250
LApr 20 · 16:00K. Zapala—811119102G. Rokita—116811123
LFeb 27 · 17:00K. Zapala—69131182G. Rokita—1111118113
WJan 29 · 22:40K. Zapala—12116113G. Rokita—1081151
LJan 29 · 17:00K. Zapala—159101192G. Rokita—1311127113
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372
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