TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12471190
Played Aug 21Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11612108111113117
Gracjan Rokita
Away
3.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:48 and never touched — 85.7% is still 85.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
85.7%
85.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11612108111113117
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 6–2 Gracjan Rokita Gracjan Rokita has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:48What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1674 vs Rokita 1367
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 307 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 100% vs Rokita 20%
Kowalewski
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 80% vs Rokita 30%
Kowalewski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski +5 · Rokita -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.22 / Rokita 3.60
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Kowalewski)+11.0pp
TT Cup · #12471190
Kowalewski1.22
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 113 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it97% 56 of 58
Up 1–0, closes it74% 75 of 102
Rokita3.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 13 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back12% 4 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKowalewski6wins
AwayRokita2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderKowalewski leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%5 of 5
AwayRokita66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski5Rokita3n = 8Kowalewski took 5 of 8
S2Kowalewski6Rokita2n = 8Kowalewski took 6 of 8
S3Kowalewski4Rokita4n = 8split evenly
S4Kowalewski5Rokita0n = 5Kowalewski took 5 of 5
S5Kowalewski2Rokita2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKowalewskiRokitaK − RBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.831.6+9.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiRokitaBasisWin rate · lifetime157 / 260 vs 79 / 23260.4%34.1%157 / 260 vs 79 / 232Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.22/Rokita 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.7%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 19 · 15:30K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—6330
WAug 13 · 15:30K. Kowalewski—119711113G. Rokita—61111572
LAug 11 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—81181172G. Rokita—118117113
WAug 11 · 17:00K. Kowalewski—811911113G. Rokita—11911792
LJun 7 · 10:35K. Kowalewski—76111182G. Rokita—111174113
WMay 9 · 21:35K. Kowalewski—11117113G. Rokita—441171
WMay 18 · 11:35K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—5760
WMay 17 · 16:00K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—3960
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.