TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13040964
Played Aug 29Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118611119411
Gracjan Rokita
Away
2.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGracjan Rokita to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
911118611119411
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 10–7 Gracjan Rokita Gracjan Rokita has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:17What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Zapala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1529 vs Rokita 1383
Zapala
Wrong
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 20% vs Rokita 40%
Rokita
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 30% vs Rokita 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -1 · Rokita -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (72%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.38 / Rokita 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Zapala)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13040964
Zapala1.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 62 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it76% 51 of 67
Rokita2.70
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwayRokita4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala75%6 of 8
AwayRokitan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala8Rokita2n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S2Zapala7Rokita3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Zapala8Rokita2n = 10Zapala took 8 of 10
S4Zapala3Rokita2n = 5Zapala took 3 of 5
S5Zapala0Rokita4n = 4Rokita took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaRokitaZ − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.832.4+7.4per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaRokitaBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 681 vs 74 / 21745.7%34.1%311 / 681 vs 74 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.38/Rokita 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.8%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rokita won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala—1112113G. Rokita—51060
WAug 19 · 22:00K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—4960
LAug 19 · 16:00K. Zapala—11711962G. Rokita—711711113
WAug 13 · 16:00K. Zapala—1111123G. Rokita—37100
LAug 11 · 16:00K. Zapala—114914132G. Rokita—6111112153
WJun 7 · 09:35K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—7430
WMay 9 · 17:35K. Zapala—1111113G. Rokita—7250
LApr 20 · 16:00K. Zapala—811119102G. Rokita—116811123
LFeb 27 · 17:00K. Zapala—69131182G. Rokita—1111118113
WJan 29 · 22:40K. Zapala—12116113G. Rokita—1081151
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
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