TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13043973
Played Aug 29Finished
Gracjan Rokita
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711118211115118
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 63.1% is still 63.1%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
63.1%
63.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
711118211115118
H2H Gracjan Rokita 0–2 Mateusz Szymanski Gracjan Rokita has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Szymanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rokita 1387 vs Szymanski 1585
Szymanski
Wrong
both rated, 198 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rokita 20% vs Szymanski 40%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rokita 30% vs Szymanski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rokita -2 · Szymanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRokita 2.95 / Szymanski 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Szymanski)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13043973
Rokita2.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Szymanski1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 28 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRokita0wins
AwaySzymanski2wins
Szymanski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricRokitaSzymanskiR − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match23.537.5−14.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRokitaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 218 vs 128 / 23734.4%54%75 / 218 vs 128 / 237Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiRokita 2.95/Szymanski 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rokita won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJun 7 · 12:35G. Rokita—591141M. Szymanski—11119113
LMay 9 · 18:35G. Rokita—4950M. Szymanski—1111113
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
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