TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13042668
Played Aug 29Finished
Gracjan Rokita
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141171193111012
Karol Guzy
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 69.2% is still 69.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
69.2%
69.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
12141171193111012
H2H Gracjan Rokita 2–6 Karol Guzy Gracjan Rokita has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Guzy
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rokita 1388 vs Guzy 1620
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 232 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rokita 40% vs Guzy 60%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rokita 30% vs Guzy 50%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rokita -1 · Guzy +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRokita 2.60 / Guzy 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Guzy)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13042668
Rokita2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Guzy1.41
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 161 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it91% 78 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it82% 126 of 153
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRokita2wins
AwayGuzy6wins
5 of 8 to a deciderGuzy leads 6–2, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRokitan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGuzy83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rokita2Guzy6n = 8Guzy took 6 of 8
S2Rokita6Guzy2n = 8Rokita took 6 of 8
S3Rokita2Guzy6n = 8Guzy took 6 of 8
S4Rokita4Guzy3n = 7Rokita took 4 of 7
S5Rokita1Guzy4n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away450%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRokitaGuzyR − GBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match42.543.5−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRokitaGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 217 vs 627 / 105634.1%59.4%74 / 217 vs 627 / 1056Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyRokita 2.60/Guzy 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 13 · 17:00G. Rokita—117101182K. Guzy—811128113
LAug 11 · 15:30G. Rokita—812941K. Guzy—111011113
LApr 28 · 17:00G. Rokita—2860K. Guzy—1111113
LFeb 27 · 23:30G. Rokita—91111592K. Guzy—119611113
WFeb 23 · 21:30G. Rokita—1111119113K. Guzy—13791142
LJan 29 · 16:30G. Rokita—11111211102K. Guzy—135146123
LJan 17 · 09:35G. Rokita—101181182K. Guzy—129114113
WDec 22 · 18:00G. Rokita—111110113K. Guzy—871261
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 20:05K. Kowalewski1.241111113G. Rokita3.402660LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
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