TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13043401
Played Aug 29Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.24
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112116116––––
Gracjan Rokita
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:37 and never touched — 79.1% is still 79.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
79.1%
79.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
112116116––––
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 7–2 Gracjan Rokita Gracjan Rokita has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (73%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1638 vs Rokita 1393
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 245 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 20% vs Rokita 40%
Rokita
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 50% vs Rokita 30%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski -2 · Rokita -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rokita form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.24 / Rokita 3.40
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Kowalewski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13043401
Kowalewski1.24
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 124 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it97% 62 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it75% 84 of 112
Rokita3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back11% 3 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKowalewski7wins
AwayRokita2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKowalewski leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%6 of 6
AwayRokita66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski6Rokita3n = 9Kowalewski took 6 of 9
S2Kowalewski7Rokita2n = 9Kowalewski took 7 of 9
S3Kowalewski4Rokita5n = 9Rokita took 5 of 9
S4Kowalewski5Rokita1n = 6Kowalewski took 5 of 6
S5Kowalewski3Rokita2n = 5Kowalewski took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKowalewskiRokitaK − RBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match42.133.3+8.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiRokitaBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 279 vs 75 / 21760.2%34.6%168 / 279 vs 75 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.24/Rokita 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.7%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski—1112811113G. Rokita—610111372
WAug 19 · 15:30K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—6330
WAug 13 · 15:30K. Kowalewski—119711113G. Rokita—61111572
LAug 11 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—81181172G. Rokita—118117113
WAug 11 · 17:00K. Kowalewski—811911113G. Rokita—11911792
LJun 7 · 10:35K. Kowalewski—76111182G. Rokita—111174113
WMay 9 · 21:35K. Kowalewski—11117113G. Rokita—441171
WMay 18 · 11:35K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—5760
WMay 17 · 16:00K. Kowalewski—1111113G. Rokita—3960
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
G. Rokita10
LAug 29 · 23:15D. Bucko1.3611713133G. Rokita2.9551111111WAug 29 · 22:05G. Rokita2.95711211113M. Szymanski1.3611811582LAug 29 · 18:05D. Bucko1.2811611143G. Rokita3.154117121WAug 29 · 17:05K. Zapala1.3891161142G. Rokita2.70118119113LAug 29 · 16:35G. Rokita2.601211113102K. Guzy1.41147911123LAug 21 · 21:40G. Rokita—511981D. Bucko—11911113WAug 21 · 21:00G. Rokita2.304161111113D. Bucko1.55111413992WAug 21 · 19:00P. Kos1.7541111382G. Rokita1.89119811113LAug 21 · 17:00K. Kowalewski1.221112811113G. Rokita3.60610111372LAug 21 · 16:00K. Zapala1.341112113G. Rokita2.8551060
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