TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12288647
Played Jul 23Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
2.65
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012117611611––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.43
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 67.0% is still 67.0%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
67.0%
67.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1012117611611––
H2H Karol Guzy 9–16 Anton Veliiev Karol Guzy has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:10What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1694 vs Veliiev 1680
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 80% vs Veliiev 100%
Veliiev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 90% vs Veliiev 60%
Guzy
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +3 · Veliiev +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.65 / Veliiev 1.43
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Veliiev)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12288647
Guzy2.65
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 80 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back31% 26 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Veliiev1.43
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 57 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy3wins
AwayVeliiev7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVeliiev leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy20%1 of 5
AwayVeliiev60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy5Veliiev5n = 10split evenly
S2Guzy3Veliiev7n = 10Veliiev took 7 of 10
S3Guzy3Veliiev7n = 10Veliiev took 7 of 10
S4Guzy3Veliiev4n = 7Veliiev took 4 of 7
S5Guzy2Veliiev2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyVeliievG − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.441.0−5.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime642 / 1082 vs 123 / 20859.3%59.1%642 / 1082 vs 123 / 208Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievGuzy 2.65/Veliiev 1.43
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 15:00K. Guzy—1312113A. Veliiev—111090
LJun 6 · 21:35K. Guzy—4630A. Veliiev—1111113
LJun 5 · 18:00K. Guzy—116781A. Veliiev—61111113
LApr 16 · 14:30K. Guzy—7760A. Veliiev—1111113
WApr 15 · 22:30K. Guzy—911411113A. Veliiev—11811692
WApr 15 · 20:00K. Guzy—881311113A. Veliiev—111111972
LApr 14 · 22:40K. Guzy—119961A. Veliiev—51111113
LApr 14 · 15:00K. Guzy—11881142A. Veliiev—911118113
LApr 12 · 14:05K. Guzy—1111119152A. Veliiev—136711173
LApr 12 · 09:05K. Guzy—111911A. Veliiev—61111113
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323
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