TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12289681
Played Jul 23Finished
Anton Veliiev
Home
2.17
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8114111012––––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.56
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
8114111012––––
H2H Anton Veliiev 1–5 Kamil Kowalewski Anton Veliiev has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:11What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Veliiev 1698 vs Kowalewski 1627
Veliiev
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Veliiev 100% vs Kowalewski 40%
Veliiev
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Veliiev 70% vs Kowalewski 50%
Veliiev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Veliiev +5 · Kowalewski +1
Veliiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeliiev 2.17 / Kowalewski 1.56
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kowalewski)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12289681
Veliiev2.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As underdog32% won 10 of 31
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Kowalewski1.56
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 69 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it68% 45 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVeliiev1wins
AwayKowalewski5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderKowalewski leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeliiev33.3%1 of 3
AwayKowalewski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veliiev3Kowalewski3n = 6split evenly
S2Veliiev1Kowalewski5n = 6Kowalewski took 5 of 6
S3Veliiev1Kowalewski5n = 6Kowalewski took 5 of 6
S4Veliiev1Kowalewski4n = 5Kowalewski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away467%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricVeliievKowalewskiV − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match34.042.5−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeliievKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 210 vs 103 / 17159.1%60.2%124 / 210 vs 103 / 171Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiVeliiev 2.17/Kowalewski 1.56
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 22 · 14:00A. Veliiev—114561K. Kowalewski—51111113
LJun 7 · 14:15A. Veliiev—12870K. Kowalewski—1411113
LJun 7 · 09:05A. Veliiev—1110981K. Kowalewski—91211113
WJun 6 · 16:05A. Veliiev—146711113K. Kowalewski—121111782
LJun 5 · 19:30A. Veliiev—311861K. Kowalewski—11711113
LJun 4 · 14:00A. Veliiev—931861K. Kowalewski—111116113
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123WJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162
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