TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12294871
Played Jul 24Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161113117911116
Anton Veliiev
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:10 and never touched — 57.9% is still 57.9%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
57.9%
57.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1161113117911116
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 6–1 Anton Veliiev Anton Veliiev has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1604 vs Veliiev 1649
Veliiev
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 40% vs Veliiev 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 40% vs Veliiev 70%
Veliiev
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski -2 · Veliiev -3
Veliiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.71 / Veliiev 2.00
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Kowalewski)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12294871
Kowalewski1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 71 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it68% 46 of 68
Veliiev2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As underdog31% won 10 of 32
Down 0–1, comes back16% 3 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKowalewski6wins
AwayVeliiev1wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKowalewski leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%4 of 4
AwayVeliiev33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski4Veliiev3n = 7Kowalewski took 4 of 7
S2Kowalewski6Veliiev1n = 7Kowalewski took 6 of 7
S3Kowalewski6Veliiev1n = 7Kowalewski took 6 of 7
S4Kowalewski4Veliiev1n = 5Kowalewski took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKowalewskiVeliievK − VBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.332.3+9.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 174 vs 124 / 21359.8%58.2%104 / 174 vs 124 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.71/Veliiev 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.9%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJul 23 · 19:30K. Kowalewski—1111123A. Veliiev—84100
WJul 22 · 14:00K. Kowalewski—51111113A. Veliiev—114561
WJun 7 · 14:15K. Kowalewski—1411113A. Veliiev—12870
WJun 7 · 09:05K. Kowalewski—91211113A. Veliiev—1110981
LJun 6 · 16:05K. Kowalewski—121111782A. Veliiev—146711113
WJun 5 · 19:30K. Kowalewski—11711113A. Veliiev—311861
WJun 4 · 14:00K. Kowalewski—111116113A. Veliiev—931861
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
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