TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12296313
Played Jul 24Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
3.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111113––––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:54 and never touched — 74.6% is still 74.6%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
74.6%
74.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
5117111113––––
H2H Pawel Kos 1–5 Anton Veliiev Pawel Kos has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:54What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1558 vs Veliiev 1634
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 60% vs Veliiev 40%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 60% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +3 · Veliiev +2
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 3.20 / Veliiev 1.27
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Veliiev)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12296313
Kos3.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back25% 14 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Veliiev1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite67% won 59 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKos1wins
AwayVeliiev5wins
Veliiev leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos1Veliiev5n = 6Veliiev took 5 of 6
S2Kos0Veliiev6n = 6Veliiev took 6 of 6
S3Kos1Veliiev5n = 6Veliiev took 5 of 6
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away583%
These 6 meetings
MetricKosVeliievK − VBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match20.832.8−12.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 683 vs 126 / 21745.1%58.1%308 / 683 vs 126 / 217Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievKos 3.20/Veliiev 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.6%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos—11811113A. Veliiev—911651
LApr 10 · 20:30P. Kos—5320A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 17 · 17:00P. Kos—10450A. Veliiev—1211113
LFeb 13 · 22:00P. Kos—3510A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 12 · 23:10P. Kos—8940A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 12 · 21:00P. Kos—9970A. Veliiev—1111113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
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