TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12295139
Played Jul 24Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
2.06
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7115111181210114
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:00 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
7115111181210114
H2H Karol Guzy 11–17 Anton Veliiev Karol Guzy has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:00What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Veliiev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-17 in 28
Veliiev
Wrong
gap of 6 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1697 vs Veliiev 1627
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Veliiev 20%
Guzy
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Veliiev 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +2 · Veliiev -4
Veliiev
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.06 / Veliiev 1.63
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Veliiev)+1.0pp
TT Cup · #12295139
Guzy2.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 81 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back30% 25 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 43
Veliiev1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite67% won 59 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy5wins
AwayVeliiev5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy50%2 of 4
AwayVeliiev50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S2Guzy4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S3Guzy4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S4Guzy3Veliiev3n = 6split evenly
S5Guzy3Veliiev0n = 3Guzy took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyVeliievG − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.9−2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime641 / 1082 vs 124 / 21459.2%57.9%641 / 1082 vs 124 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievGuzy 2.06/Veliiev 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy—751112113A. Veliiev—111181042
WJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy—1111113A. Veliiev—6560
LJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy—1011661A. Veliiev—12711113
WJul 22 · 15:00K. Guzy—1312113A. Veliiev—111090
LJun 6 · 21:35K. Guzy—4630A. Veliiev—1111113
LJun 5 · 18:00K. Guzy—116781A. Veliiev—61111113
LApr 16 · 14:30K. Guzy—7760A. Veliiev—1111113
WApr 15 · 22:30K. Guzy—911411113A. Veliiev—11811692
WApr 15 · 20:00K. Guzy—881311113A. Veliiev—111111972
LApr 14 · 22:40K. Guzy—119961A. Veliiev—51111113
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
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