TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12290629
Played Jul 23Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
4.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811116115––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 81.9% is still 81.9%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
81.9%
81.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
119811116115––
H2H Pawel Kos 0–5 Anton Veliiev Pawel Kos has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (79%)
Veliiev
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Veliiev
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1528 vs Veliiev 1680
Veliiev
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 60% vs Veliiev 80%
Veliiev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 50% vs Veliiev 70%
Veliiev
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos -2 · Veliiev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Veliiev)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 4.40 / Veliiev 1.18
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Veliiev)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12290629
Kos4.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 52 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Veliiev1.18
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
As favourite68% won 57 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKos0wins
AwayVeliiev5wins
Veliiev leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos0Veliiev5n = 5Veliiev took 5 of 5
S2Kos0Veliiev5n = 5Veliiev took 5 of 5
S3Kos0Veliiev5n = 5Veliiev took 5 of 5
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away5100%
These 5 meetings
MetricKosVeliievK − VBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set05−5of 5Avg pointsper match16.833.2−16.4per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime304 / 677 vs 124 / 21144.9%58.8%304 / 677 vs 124 / 211Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievKos 4.40/Veliiev 1.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.9%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 10 · 20:30P. Kos—5320A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 17 · 17:00P. Kos—10450A. Veliiev—1211113
LFeb 13 · 22:00P. Kos—3510A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 12 · 23:10P. Kos—8940A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 12 · 21:00P. Kos—9970A. Veliiev—1111113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
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