TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12288843
Played Jul 23Finished
Blazej Gola
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
––––––––––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.32
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
H2H Blazej Gola 4–9 Anton Veliiev Blazej Gola has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gola 1454 vs Veliiev 1693
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gola 20% vs Veliiev 100%
Veliiev
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gola 40% vs Veliiev 60%
Veliiev
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gola -4 · Veliiev +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Veliiev) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGola 2.90 / Veliiev 1.32
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Veliiev)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12288843
Gola2.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 40 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back6% 4 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 46
Veliiev1.32
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 57 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it83% 48 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGola1wins
AwayVeliiev9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVeliiev leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGola33.3%1 of 3
AwayVeliiev100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gola3Veliiev7n = 10Veliiev took 7 of 10
S2Gola4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S3Gola4Veliiev6n = 10Veliiev took 6 of 10
S4Gola0Veliiev6n = 6Veliiev took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGolaVeliievG − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.238.4−8.2per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGolaVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime271 / 600 vs 124 / 20945.2%59.3%271 / 600 vs 124 / 209Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievGola 2.90/Veliiev 1.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.7%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 22:00B. Gola—6370A. Veliiev—1111113
LJul 22 · 20:00B. Gola—3890A. Veliiev—1111113
LJun 4 · 15:00B. Gola—2950A. Veliiev—1111113
LApr 15 · 17:00B. Gola—111110792A. Veliiev—531211113
LApr 14 · 14:30B. Gola—61111492A. Veliiev—113911113
LApr 10 · 19:30B. Gola—1111121A. Veliiev—91111143
LApr 9 · 15:00B. Gola—591371A. Veliiev—111111113
LMar 20 · 23:00B. Gola—8111291A. Veliiev—11614113
WMar 20 · 16:00B. Gola—1111123A. Veliiev—99100
LMar 19 · 15:30B. Gola—771131A. Veliiev—11116113
B. Gola10
LSep 4 · 21:40A. Duch1.371111113B. Gola2.906870LSep 4 · 20:30B. Gola2.5511970K. Guzy1.461311113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Duch1.361111123B. Gola2.8036100LSep 4 · 17:30B. Gola3.6011134632K. Kowalewski1.258111111113WSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133LSep 4 · 16:00B. Gola2.25115811112M. Szymanski1.54811113133LSep 3 · 21:40B. Gola2.507113111D. Bucko1.4711911133WSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:30B. Gola3.306111281K. Kowalewski1.25111310113LSep 3 · 17:30K. Zapala1.601111123B. Gola2.2049100
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.