TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158392
Played Sep 19Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9119111311911––
Anton Veliiev
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:53 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeOldrich Stehlik to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Anton Veliiev below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 84 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oldrich Stehlik at 61.6%
84 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:53What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Stehlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stehlik 1700 vs Veliiev 1733
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stehlik 60% vs Veliiev 100%
Veliiev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stehlik 40% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stehlik -2 · Veliiev +5
Veliiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Stehlik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 1.44 / Veliiev 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Stehlik)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13158392
Stehlik1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Veliiev2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 248 vs 130 / 22054.4%59.1%135 / 248 vs 130 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikStehlik 1.44/Veliiev 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Stehlik10
LSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113LSep 17 · 21:33O. Stehlik2.50117691T. Bartik1.5051111113WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122
A. Veliiev10
WSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123
Upcoming Matches
O. Stehlik
Nothing scheduled
A. Veliiev
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