TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149058
Played Sep 17Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115711611911––
Tomas Bartik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Tomas Bartik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Stehlik 16–14 Tomas Bartik Tomas Bartik has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Stehlik beat Bartik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Bartik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 2.50 / Bartik 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Bartik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13149058
Stehlik2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 19 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Bartik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStehlik5wins
AwayBartik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStehlik75%3 of 4
AwayBartik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stehlik4Bartik6n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Stehlik5Bartik5n = 10split evenly
S3Stehlik3Bartik7n = 10Bartik took 7 of 10
S4Stehlik3Bartik4n = 7Bartik took 4 of 7
S5Stehlik3Bartik0n = 3Stehlik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStehlikBartikS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.537.8−2.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikBartikBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 246 vs 186 / 31654.5%58.9%134 / 246 vs 186 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikStehlik 2.50/Bartik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bartik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 19:05O. Stehlik48511129113T. Bartik45116101172
LJun 19 · 12:35O. Stehlik2691070T. Bartik341112113
LJun 12 · 13:05O. Stehlik268990T. Bartik331111113
WJun 12 · 10:35O. Stehlik50891111113T. Bartik4411116792
WJun 7 · 18:35O. Stehlik3911125113T. Bartik348101151
LJun 1 · 12:35O. Stehlik26511641T. Bartik3811511113
WMay 25 · 10:35O. Stehlik42115411113T. Bartik4151111682
WMay 23 · 19:35O. Stehlik351111133T. Bartik2678110
LMay 17 · 21:40O. Stehlik291153101T. Bartik4171111123
LMay 17 · 20:05O. Stehlik34711791T. Bartik4211911113
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113
T. Bartik10
WSep 17 · 20:05T. Bartik1.361511106123J. Ruzicka3.001361211102LSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:40T. Bartik1.51131191192M. Kucera2.35153116113WSep 14 · 16:05T. Bartik1.5711185113M. Kucera2.256161131WSep 14 · 15:05T. Bartik1.501112113T. Beran2.5071030LSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113
Upcoming Matches
O. Stehlik
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T. Bartik
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