TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145262
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Bartik
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
151311610126111210
Jakub Ruzicka
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Bartik to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Bartik above · Jakub Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 106 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Bartik at 57.4%
106 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Bartik 9–3 Jakub Ruzicka Jakub Ruzicka has won 3 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Bartik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-3 in 12
Bartik
Correct
gap of 6 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartik 1679 vs Ruzicka 1722
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartik 60% vs Ruzicka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartik 50% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartik -1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Bartik) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartik 1.36 / Ruzicka 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Bartik)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13145262
Bartik1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Ruzicka3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 31 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartik7wins
AwayRuzicka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBartik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartik83.3%5 of 6
AwayRuzicka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartik6Ruzicka4n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S2Bartik7Ruzicka3n = 10Bartik took 7 of 10
S3Bartik6Ruzicka4n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S4Bartik7Ruzicka0n = 7Bartik took 7 of 7
S5Bartik1Ruzicka3n = 4Ruzicka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartikRuzickaB − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.237.6+5.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartikRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 315 vs 48 / 12058.7%40%185 / 315 vs 48 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikBartik 1.36/Ruzicka 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bartik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik48117111182J. Ruzicka49611138113
WSep 2 · 11:35T. Bartik341111123J. Ruzicka2046100
WAug 22 · 19:05T. Bartik48111011163J. Ruzicka419125151
LAug 9 · 07:05T. Bartik5910121114122J. Ruzicka561214412143
WAug 4 · 14:05T. Bartik4071111113J. Ruzicka37119981
WAug 1 · 20:05T. Bartik4211119113J. Ruzicka35781191
WJul 14 · 19:05T. Bartik331111113J. Ruzicka227960
WJul 11 · 15:05T. Bartik331111113J. Ruzicka217770
LJul 10 · 14:05T. Bartik4471171182J. Ruzicka51119119113
WJun 29 · 18:35T. Bartik511011613113J. Ruzicka44127111132
T. Bartik10
LSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:40T. Bartik1.51131191192M. Kucera2.35153116113WSep 14 · 16:05T. Bartik1.5711185113M. Kucera2.256161131WSep 14 · 15:05T. Bartik1.501112113T. Beran2.5071030LSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 17 · 19:35T. Trnka2.001113111192J. Ruzicka1.73715413113LSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113WSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.83811118113O. Polak1.8311551112LSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113
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