TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145305
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Trnka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11713151141113911
Jakub Ruzicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Trnka above · Jakub Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 105 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Ruzicka at 54.0%
105 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Trnka 2–0 Jakub Ruzicka Jakub Ruzicka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:42What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trnka 1561 vs Ruzicka 1722
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trnka 20% vs Ruzicka 60%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trnka 20% vs Ruzicka 50%
Ruzicka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trnka -4 · Ruzicka -1
Trnka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trnka form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrnka 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13145305
Trnka2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Ruzicka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 11 of 19
Up 2–0, closes it71% 5 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrnka2wins
AwayRuzicka0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderTrnka leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricTrnkaRuzickaT − RBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.538.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrnkaRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 270 vs 48 / 12051.9%40%140 / 270 vs 48 / 120Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaTrnka 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 22 · 21:04T. Trnka51118611153J. Ruzicka51811118132
WAug 22 · 20:35T. Trnka361411113J. Ruzicka2512760
T. Trnka10
LSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860LSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:10T. Beran2.75811119113T. Trnka1.4011871172LSep 14 · 16:35T. Beran2.6311711123T. Trnka1.447118101LSep 14 · 15:35T. Trnka3.0011123772M. Kucera1.364101111113WSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 17 · 20:05T. Bartik1.361511106123J. Ruzicka3.001361211102LSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113WSep 10 · 17:40M. Holub2.256411101J. Ruzicka1.5711117123WSep 10 · 16:05J. Ruzicka1.83811118113O. Polak1.8311551112LSep 10 · 15:05J. Ruzicka1.50118911102M. Holub2.50811119123WSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113LSep 2 · 12:35D. Lengal1.5013811113J. Ruzicka2.501111471LSep 2 · 11:35J. Ruzicka2.2046100T. Bartik1.611111123WSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113
Upcoming Matches
T. Trnka
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J. Ruzicka
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