TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129351
Played Sep 14Finished
Tomas Trnka
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1141210311711711
Martin Kucera
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Kucera to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Trnka above · Martin Kucera below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 87 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Kucera at 71.6%
87 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Trnka 0–2 Martin Kucera Tomas Trnka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kucera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Trnka 1616 vs Kucera 1706
Kucera
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trnka 40% vs Kucera 80%
Kucera
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trnka 30% vs Kucera 50%
Kucera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Trnka +1 · Kucera +3
Kucera
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kucera)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrnka 3.00 / Kucera 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Kucera)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13129351
Trnka3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 20 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Kucera1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 18 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeTrnka0wins
AwayKucera2wins
Kucera leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricTrnkaKuceraT − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match28.537.5−9.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrnkaKuceraBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 266 vs 74 / 13552.6%54.8%140 / 266 vs 74 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuceraTrnka 3.00/Kucera 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.6%
Kucera · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 5 · 09:10T. Trnka228770M. Kucera331111113
LSep 5 · 06:05T. Trnka35119781M. Kucera4291111113
T. Trnka10
WSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161LSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113WSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113LSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770LSep 5 · 08:35J. Joksch1.611111113T. Trnka2.208970LSep 5 · 07:35T. Trnka2.205960M. Mastera1.611111113LSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WSep 3 · 17:03T. Trnka2.00211114113J. Ruzicka1.7311971162
M. Kucera10
WSep 14 · 14:35M. Kucera1.6112414123T. Beran2.20101112101WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113
Upcoming Matches
T. Trnka
M. Kucera
Nothing scheduled
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