TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13129285
Played Sep 14Finished
Martin Kucera
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121041114121210––
Tomas Beran 2000
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:31 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Kucera to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Kucera above · Tomas Beran 2000 below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 85 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Martin Kucera at 60.9%
85 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kucera 5–3 Tomas Beran 2000 Tomas Beran 2000 has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kucera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Kucera
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucera 1696 vs Beran 1641
Kucera
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucera 80% vs Beran 60%
Kucera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucera 50% vs Beran 30%
Kucera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucera +2 · Beran +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kucera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Beran form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucera 1.61 / Beran 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Kucera)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13129285
Kucera1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 18 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it65% 11 of 17
Beran2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 16 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKucera5wins
AwayBeran3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKucera leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuceran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBeran50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucera2Beran6n = 8Beran took 6 of 8
S2Kucera6Beran2n = 8Kucera took 6 of 8
S3Kucera5Beran3n = 8Kucera took 5 of 8
S4Kucera4Beran3n = 7Kucera took 4 of 7
S5Kucera2Beran1n = 3Kucera took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKuceraBeranK − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match38.537.2+1.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuceraBeranBasisWin rate · lifetime73 / 134 vs 71 / 13554.5%52.6%73 / 134 vs 71 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuceraKucera 1.61/Beran 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.9%
Kucera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 21 · 17:10M. Kucera491161110113T. Beran4181141262
WAug 21 · 16:35M. Kucera4071111113T. Beran29115941
WJul 6 · 17:10M. Kucera331111113T. Beran227870
WJul 6 · 14:05M. Kucera42511411113T. Beran4011811822
LFeb 16 · 18:45M. Kucera28451181T. Beran4211119113
LFeb 16 · 16:35M. Kucera47141131182T. Beran48167113113
WFeb 2 · 18:45M. Kucera4271111133T. Beran341184111
LFeb 2 · 16:35M. Kucera27911521T. Beran4211911113
M. Kucera10
WSep 14 · 15:35T. Trnka3.0011123772M. Kucera1.364101111113WSep 5 · 09:10M. Kucera1.401111113T. Trnka2.758770WSep 5 · 08:05M. Kucera1.57911118113M. Mastera2.2511961132LSep 5 · 07:05M. Kucera1.44861131J. Joksch2.6311115113WSep 5 · 06:05M. Kucera1.4091111113T. Trnka2.75119781WAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113LAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781LAug 31 · 15:35M. Mastera2.2581111113M. Kucera1.57115981LAug 31 · 14:35M. Kucera1.554960J. Ruzicka2.191111113LAug 29 · 13:49M. Kucera2.311181121D. Lengal1.5513119113
T. Beran10
LSep 14 · 15:05T. Bartik1.501112113T. Beran2.5071030WSep 3 · 17:34T. Beran1.5012711133M. Holub2.5010119111LSep 3 · 16:05T. Beran2.206101111102T. Trnka1.61111299123WSep 3 · 15:05T. Beran1.7381112123J. Ruzicka2.0011810101WSep 3 · 14:05T. Beran1.8391111113M. Holub1.83112861LSep 1 · 17:15T. Trnka1.831111113T. Beran1.834990LSep 1 · 16:05T. Beran1.7311391172J. Joksch2.00611117113LSep 1 · 15:05T. Beran1.67101100T. Trnka2.101211123LSep 1 · 14:05T. Beran1.6177111292J. Ruzicka2.201111910113LAug 21 · 17:10M. Kucera2.001161110113T. Beran1.7381141262
Upcoming Matches
M. Kucera
Nothing scheduled
T. Beran
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