TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158386
Played Sep 19Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Martin Mastera
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:52 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeOldrich Stehlik to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 55 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Oldrich Stehlik at 54.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Stehlik 17–10 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 10 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stehlik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-10 in 27
Stehlik
Wrong
gap of 7 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stehlik 1690 vs Mastera 1623
Stehlik
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stehlik 40% vs Mastera 20%
Stehlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stehlik 40% vs Mastera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stehlik -3 · Mastera -2
Stehlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stehlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mastera form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 1.73 / Mastera 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stehlik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13158386
Stehlik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Mastera2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStehlik6wins
AwayMastera4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStehlik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStehlik85.7%6 of 7
AwayMastera100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stehlik7Mastera3n = 10Stehlik took 7 of 10
S2Stehlik5Mastera5n = 10split evenly
S3Stehlik6Mastera4n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S4Stehlik3Mastera4n = 7Mastera took 4 of 7
S5Stehlik2Mastera2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStehlikMasteraS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 249 vs 169 / 34254.2%49.4%135 / 249 vs 169 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikStehlik 1.73/Mastera 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mastera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik4511691182M. Mastera47511119113
WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik51129117123M. Mastera471011511102
LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik3811211682M. Mastera491110611113
WJul 16 · 15:35O. Stehlik49119126113M. Mastera47911101162
LJul 15 · 14:35O. Stehlik28551171M. Mastera3911116113
WJul 9 · 14:35O. Stehlik4415117113M. Mastera371361171
WJul 4 · 07:35O. Stehlik401111183M. Mastera2857160
WJul 3 · 17:50O. Stehlik4111117123M. Mastera379711101
LJul 3 · 15:35O. Stehlik236980M. Mastera331111113
WJun 13 · 10:35O. Stehlik331111113M. Mastera188370
O. Stehlik10
WSep 19 · 17:15M. Mastera2.007770O. Stehlik1.731111113LSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113LSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113LSep 17 · 21:33O. Stehlik2.50117691T. Bartik1.5051111113WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113
M. Mastera10
LSep 19 · 17:15M. Mastera2.007770O. Stehlik1.731111113LSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960LSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113
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