TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13149334
Played Sep 18Finished
Petr Kubat
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111311611––
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Kubat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Kubat above · Tomas Cerveny Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 77 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Petr Kubat at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Petr Kubat 1–0 Tomas Cerveny Jr Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:00What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kubat
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kubat 1410 vs Jr 1527
Jr
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubat 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubat 30% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubat -1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kubat)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubat 1.61 / Jr 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kubat)-3.7pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13149334
Kubat1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Jr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 35 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKubat1wins
AwayJr0wins
Kubat leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKubatJrK − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.021.0+12.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubatJrBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 218 vs 333 / 61136.7%54.5%80 / 218 vs 333 / 611Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KubatKubat 1.61/Jr 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kubat · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 12 · 14:50P. Kubat331111113T. Jr215790
P. Kubat10
LSep 18 · 12:20P. Kubat2.6310820A. Jr1.441211113LSep 18 · 10:20P. Kubat2.0041111462L. Rek1.73118611113WAug 27 · 17:25P. Kubat1.9114711143P. Vodal1.8012119121WAug 27 · 16:50P. Kubat2.1011119113P. Vodal1.67741181LAug 27 · 15:20A. Jr2.7551111113P. Kubat1.40119661LAug 27 · 14:50T. Rein1.331111113P. Kubat3.253540LAug 25 · 21:55M. Boltik1.57149118123P. Kubat2.251211411102LAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 19:55M. Boltik1.731111119113P. Kubat2.0019131142LAug 25 · 19:25L. Jirka1.501111113P. Kubat2.502520
T. Jr10
LSep 18 · 10:50A. Jr1.73121511113T. Jr2.001017671WSep 15 · 17:20A. Jr1.801378101T. Jr1.91111111123LSep 15 · 16:20T. Jr2.00119111122D. Zelezny1.73611913113LSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113WSep 15 · 14:20T. Jr1.50117911113T. Rein2.5061111692WSep 10 · 22:35M. Juhasz1.80381121T. Jr1.9011119113LSep 10 · 20:55T. Jr2.0071211101M. Juhasz1.7311144123WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382WSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581
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