TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13134414
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711911116119
Tomas Rein
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:57 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 65.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 31–30 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 30 of their 61 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-30 in 61
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1554 vs Rein 1420
Jr
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 80% vs Rein 0%
Jr
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 60% vs Rein 10%
Jr
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Rein -5
Rein
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.50 / Rein 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Jr)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13134414
Jr1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 68 of 108
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it83% 53 of 64
Rein2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 88 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 166
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr9wins
AwayRein1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr87.5%7 of 8
AwayReinn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr8Rein2n = 10Jr took 8 of 10
S2Jr5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr7Rein3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S4Jr4Rein4n = 8split evenly
S5Jr4Rein0n = 4Jr took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrReinJ − RBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.837.7+3.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrReinBasisWin rate · lifetime340 / 624 vs 386 / 83754.5%46.1%340 / 624 vs 386 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.50/Rein 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr28116471T. Rein4291111113
WAug 16 · 19:50T. Jr4312512143T. Rein43101110121
WJul 20 · 14:50T. Jr331111113T. Rein236980
WApr 24 · 13:59T. Jr331111113T. Rein248790
WApr 24 · 12:55T. Jr47138114113T. Rein48111171182
WApr 21 · 14:20T. Jr48119116113T. Rein4591191152
WApr 7 · 10:50T. Jr49111215113T. Rein428141371
WMar 31 · 13:18T. Jr46111158113T. Rein4045111192
WMar 31 · 11:20T. Jr41511311113T. Rein4211411792
WMar 27 · 19:50T. Jr4071111113T. Rein28112871
T. Jr10
LSep 15 · 15:20T. Jr2.00101112962A. Jr1.731291011113WSep 10 · 22:35M. Juhasz1.80381121T. Jr1.9011119113LSep 10 · 20:55T. Jr2.0071211101M. Juhasz1.7311144123WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382WSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581LSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191LSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133
T. Rein10
LSep 12 · 10:04C. Kratochvil1.281111113T. Rein3.508940LSep 12 · 08:55T. Rein3.40691261C. Kratochvil1.30111110113LSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113LSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113
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