TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108592
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
71112141141012––
Martin Juhasz
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Martin Juhasz below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 81 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 70.7%
81 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 0–2 Martin Juhasz Tomas Cerveny Jr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Juhasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jr 1563 vs Juhasz 1400
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 163 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Juhasz 20%
Jr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Juhasz 30%
Jr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +3 · Juhasz +1
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juhasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.00 / Juhasz 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13108592
Jr2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 34 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back17% 10 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Juhasz1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 46 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJr0wins
AwayJuhasz2wins
Juhasz leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricJrJuhaszJr − JuhaszBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.034.0−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrJuhaszBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 622 vs 60 / 11554.5%52.2%339 / 622 vs 60 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 2.00/Juhasz 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juhasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 17 · 19:20T. Jr—911491M. Juhasz—11211113
LJun 21 · 19:25T. Jr—9860M. Juhasz—1111113
T. Jr10
WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr1.8311115113Z. Vyskocil1.83851141WSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382WSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581LSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191LSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113
M. Juhasz10
WSep 10 · 20:25T. Barsa1.57211151M. Juhasz2.2511611113LSep 10 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.83411181Z. Vyskocil1.8311116113LSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100LSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 20:25T. Barsa1.7313119133M. Juhasz2.0011911111LSep 2 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.73511881Z. Vyskocil2.0011611113LAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 20:55M. Juhasz2.2011411113T. Barsa1.61611961LAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163WAug 31 · 18:55M. Juhasz2.001112713113Z. Vyskocil1.73610111582
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