TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108604
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Cerveny Jr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118115511114––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Cerveny Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Cerveny Jr above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Tomas Cerveny Jr at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Cerveny Jr 27–22 Zbynek Vyskocil Zbynek Vyskocil has won 22 of their 49 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-22 in 49
Jr
Correct
gap of 5 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1563 vs Vyskocil 1536
Jr
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 60% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Vyskocil 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +2 · Vyskocil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.83 / Vyskocil 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jr)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13108604
Jr1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Vyskocil1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr6wins
AwayVyskocil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr80%4 of 5
AwayVyskocil60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S2Jr5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S3Jr6Vyskocil4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr4Vyskocil5n = 9Vyskocil took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrVyskocilJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.6+1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime339 / 622 vs 294 / 60254.5%48.8%339 / 622 vs 294 / 602Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.83/Vyskocil 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:55T. Jr—11115113Z. Vyskocil—851141
WSep 6 · 22:04T. Jr—371212133Z. Vyskocil—11111010112
LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr—116771Z. Vyskocil—81111113
WAug 30 · 21:55T. Jr—1111113Z. Vyskocil—7270
LAug 30 · 20:50T. Jr—12514101Z. Vyskocil—141112123
WAug 27 · 22:00T. Jr—111112113Z. Vyskocil—441471
WAug 27 · 19:20T. Jr—81111133Z. Vyskocil—1197111
LAug 24 · 20:20T. Jr—6119101Z. Vyskocil—11911123
LAug 17 · 20:50T. Jr—481191Z. Vyskocil—11116113
WAug 4 · 20:25T. Jr—1110115113Z. Vyskocil—61241172
T. Jr10
WSep 10 · 18:55T. Jr2.10611211113T. Barsa1.6711711382WSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581LSep 9 · 12:20F. Dvorak1.4416119113T. Jr2.631461191LSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972WSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133LSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113LSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113LSep 6 · 18:55T. Jr1.50116471T. Rein2.5091111113WSep 3 · 14:04T. Jr1.171111113S. Matousch4.503530
Z. Vyskocil10
WSep 10 · 19:25M. Juhasz1.83411181Z. Vyskocil1.8311116113LSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich2.0011411133Z. Vyskocil1.737119111LSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133WSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113
Upcoming Matches
T. Jr
Nothing scheduled
Z. Vyskocil
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