TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13094974
Played Sep 7Finished
Lukas Vich
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1174111191311––
Zbynek Vyskocil
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:15 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeZbynek Vyskocil to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Vich above · Zbynek Vyskocil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Zbynek Vyskocil at 56.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Vich 55–72 Zbynek Vyskocil Lukas Vich has won 55 of their 127 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Vich beat Vyskocil 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:15What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
55-72 in 127
Vyskocil
Wrong
gap of 17 in 127, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vich 1532 vs Vyskocil 1534
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vich 40% vs Vyskocil 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vich 60% vs Vyskocil 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vich +2 · Vyskocil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVich 2.00 / Vyskocil 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13094974
Vich2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 63 of 147
Down 0–1, comes back27% 24 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back12% 6 of 51
Vyskocil1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite56% won 69 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it73% 50 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVich5wins
AwayVyskocil5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVich50%2 of 4
AwayVyskocil50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vich4Vyskocil6n = 10Vyskocil took 6 of 10
S2Vich5Vyskocil5n = 10split evenly
S3Vich6Vyskocil4n = 10Vich took 6 of 10
S4Vich7Vyskocil2n = 9Vich took 7 of 9
S5Vich2Vyskocil4n = 6Vyskocil took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVichVyskocilVich − VyskocilBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.640.5+1.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVichVyskocilBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 522 vs 298 / 61046.6%48.9%243 / 522 vs 298 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVich 2.00/Vyskocil 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vich won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 21:50L. Vich—11411133Z. Vyskocil—7119111
WSep 7 · 20:50L. Vich—81111113Z. Vyskocil—117811
WSep 6 · 19:25L. Vich—712913113Z. Vyskocil—1110111162
LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich—1151051Z. Vyskocil—91112113
LAug 21 · 21:55L. Vich—47111172Z. Vyskocil—111139113
LAug 21 · 20:50L. Vich—1011111102Z. Vyskocil—121186123
LAug 12 · 21:48L. Vich—412412112Z. Vyskocil—11101110133
WAug 12 · 20:50L. Vich—1111113Z. Vyskocil—6890
WAug 11 · 19:50L. Vich—811711113Z. Vyskocil—11511442
LJul 15 · 21:55L. Vich—117111162Z. Vyskocil—511113113
L. Vich10
WSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:50L. Vich1.611111113R. Zeman2.206640LSep 7 · 18:20P. Cibik1.83113711113L. Vich1.8391111952LSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540LSep 6 · 21:25L. Vich2.3858111182T. Rein1.53111175113WSep 6 · 19:55T. Jr2.00811991L. Vich1.7311811113WSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 2 · 22:03L. Vich1.671711123M. Juhasz2.10158100WSep 2 · 20:55L. Vich1.8311113113M. Juhasz1.83891181LSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113
Z. Vyskocil10
LSep 7 · 20:50Z. Vyskocil1.73117811L. Vich2.0081111113WSep 7 · 19:20P. Cibik2.10811110Z. Vyskocil1.671113133WSep 7 · 18:50R. Zeman2.7581070Z. Vyskocil1.401112113LSep 6 · 22:04Z. Vyskocil1.6711111010112T. Jr2.10371212133WSep 6 · 20:55T. Jr1.73116771Z. Vyskocil2.0081111113WSep 6 · 20:25T. Rein1.40119121192Z. Vyskocil2.75311143113LSep 6 · 19:25Z. Vyskocil1.731110111162L. Vich2.00712913113WSep 6 · 13:53P. Cibik1.8091111682Z. Vyskocil1.91119711113WSep 6 · 12:20R. Zeman2.1071260Z. Vyskocil1.671114113WSep 2 · 19:55L. Vich1.831151051Z. Vyskocil1.8391112113
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