TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117701
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111210611––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:54 and never touched — 78.5% is still 78.5%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
78.5%
78.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 78.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 3–23 Christian Kratochvil Tomas Rein has won 3 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:54What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Kratochvil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-23 in 26
Kratochvil
Correct
gap of 20 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1453 vs Kratochvil 1446
Rein
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Kratochvil 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 20% vs Kratochvil 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Kratochvil -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (0%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 3.40 / Kratochvil 1.30
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Kratochvil)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13117701
Rein3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 96 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Kratochvil1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 66 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein0wins
AwayKratochvil10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKratochvil leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReinn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKratochvil100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein1Kratochvil9n = 10Kratochvil took 9 of 10
S2Rein3Kratochvil7n = 10Kratochvil took 7 of 10
S3Rein2Kratochvil8n = 10Kratochvil took 8 of 10
S4Rein1Kratochvil5n = 6Kratochvil took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinKratochvilR − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.039.5−8.5per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 839 vs 234 / 41946.3%55.9%388 / 839 vs 234 / 419Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilRein 3.40/Kratochvil 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 16 · 17:25T. Rein—9111251C. Kratochvil—11414113
LApr 9 · 12:55T. Rein—6550C. Kratochvil—1111113
LMar 31 · 10:50T. Rein—591181C. Kratochvil—11116113
LNov 10 · 15:20T. Rein—41011111C. Kratochvil—11127133
LNov 10 · 12:10T. Rein—127481C. Kratochvil—101111113
LNov 3 · 12:25T. Rein—911121652C. Kratochvil—1151414113
LOct 28 · 23:20T. Rein—96110C. Kratochvil—1111133
LOct 28 · 20:40T. Rein—1011591C. Kratochvil—12711113
LOct 24 · 11:55T. Rein—9780C. Kratochvil—1111113
LOct 21 · 14:20T. Rein—4690C. Kratochvil—1111113
T. Rein10
LSep 12 · 07:55T. Rein2.1071260P. Vodal1.671114113LSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113
C. Kratochvil10
WSep 12 · 08:25B. Budik1.50812111192C. Kratochvil2.35111444113LSep 12 · 07:25C. Kratochvil2.25610110P. Vodal1.571112133LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781LSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992LSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192
Upcoming Matches
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C. Kratochvil
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