TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097558
Played Sep 8Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711112119––
Christian Kratochvil
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:39 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 71 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 57.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 11–10 Christian Kratochvil Christian Kratochvil has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Kratochvil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1415 vs Kratochvil 1514
Kratochvil
Wrong
both rated, 99 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Kratochvil 60%
Kratochvil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Kratochvil 70%
Kratochvil
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -3 · Kratochvil +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.20 / Kratochvil 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Kratochvil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13097558
Jr2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 61
Kratochvil1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 66 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr5wins
AwayKratochvil5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr83.3%5 of 6
AwayKratochvil100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr6Kratochvil4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S2Jr3Kratochvil7n = 10Kratochvil took 7 of 10
S3Jr4Kratochvil6n = 10Kratochvil took 6 of 10
S4Jr3Kratochvil4n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKratochvilJ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.139.8−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime250 / 533 vs 237 / 41846.9%56.7%250 / 533 vs 237 / 418Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilJr 2.20/Kratochvil 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 1 · 21:55A. Jr—671141C. Kratochvil—11118113
WJul 1 · 21:25A. Jr—1113113C. Kratochvil—61180
WJun 7 · 08:20A. Jr—1171111113C. Kratochvil—51113992
WMay 31 · 14:04A. Jr—111011113C. Kratochvil—512771
LMay 31 · 12:55A. Jr—21180C. Kratochvil—1113113
LApr 8 · 12:20A. Jr—861981C. Kratochvil—111117113
WMar 25 · 22:49A. Jr—181166113C. Kratochvil—162111172
WMar 25 · 21:50A. Jr—11115123C. Kratochvil—7911101
LJan 30 · 22:20A. Jr—163781C. Kratochvil—141111113
LJan 30 · 20:50A. Jr—61470C. Kratochvil—1116113
A. Jr10
LSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122WSep 5 · 12:25J. Dohnal1.33918261A. Jr3.2511161193WSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781LSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113
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