TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13097993
Played Sep 8Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11771112141012––
Ales Brandtl Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:34 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Ales Brandtl Jr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 84 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 64.0%
84 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 11–8 Ales Brandtl Jr Ales Brandtl Jr has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:34What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Koutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Koutnik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1558 vs Jr 1430
Koutnik
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 60% vs Jr 40%
Koutnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 70% vs Jr 40%
Koutnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik +1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Koutnik)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13097993
Koutnik1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 34 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it67% 24 of 36
Jr2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 78 of 176
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back12% 7 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik7wins
AwayJr3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKoutnik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik50%3 of 6
AwayJr0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik6Jr4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S2Koutnik6Jr4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik8Jr2n = 10Koutnik took 8 of 10
S4Koutnik5Jr4n = 9Koutnik took 5 of 9
S5Koutnik2Jr3n = 5Jr took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikJrK − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.439.3+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikJrBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 336 vs 251 / 53446.1%47%155 / 336 vs 251 / 534Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 13:25V. Koutnik—91111113A. Jr—119661
WAug 20 · 11:25V. Koutnik—1111113A. Jr—6990
WAug 10 · 18:00V. Koutnik—911118113A. Jr—11891192
WAug 10 · 16:50V. Koutnik—911117113A. Jr—11711142
LJul 17 · 18:29V. Koutnik—111111892A. Jr—713611113
LJul 17 · 16:55V. Koutnik—11811682A. Jr—511511113
WJun 26 · 18:35V. Koutnik—12311113A. Jr—1011971
WJun 26 · 16:25V. Koutnik—91112113A. Jr—1191071
WJun 21 · 14:00V. Koutnik—19119113A. Jr—1771161
LJun 21 · 10:55V. Koutnik—111051192A. Jr—812117113
V. Koutnik10
WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113WSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113WSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.751211113T. Hnizdil1.4010460LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113WAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113
A. Jr10
LSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113LSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123WSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:30A. Jr2.2587111182J. Dohnal1.55111189113LSep 5 · 12:55J. Sebl1.361111611143A. Jr3.00313112122LAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113
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