TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13098071
Played Sep 8Finished
Christian Kratochvil
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811411––––
Vojtech Koutnik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:50 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeChristian Kratochvil to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingChristian Kratochvil above · Vojtech Koutnik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 56 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Christian Kratochvil at 57.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Christian Kratochvil 2–2 Vojtech Koutnik Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kratochvil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1491 vs Koutnik 1542
Koutnik
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 60% vs Koutnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 60% vs Koutnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -2 · Koutnik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kratochvil) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 1.73 / Koutnik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kratochvil)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13098071
Kratochvil1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 66 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it97% 35 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Koutnik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back37% 20 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKratochvil2wins
AwayKoutnik2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKratochvil66.7%2 of 3
AwayKoutnikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kratochvil3Koutnik1n = 4Kratochvil took 3 of 4
S2Kratochvil2Koutnik2n = 4split evenly
S3Kratochvil1Koutnik3n = 4Koutnik took 3 of 4
S4Kratochvil4Koutnik0n = 4Kratochvil took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKratochvilKoutnikKratochvil − KoutnikBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match42.039.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilKoutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 420 vs 155 / 33756.4%46%237 / 420 vs 155 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KratochvilKratochvil 1.73/Koutnik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 31 · 11:25C. Kratochvil—11781172V. Koutnik—811114113
LMay 16 · 18:35C. Kratochvil—81161182V. Koutnik—115119113
WMay 16 · 14:55C. Kratochvil—11711113V. Koutnik—611651
WMay 10 · 17:25C. Kratochvil—11117113V. Koutnik—791191
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781LSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992LSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WAug 19 · 20:55M. Zajicek1.61119115152C. Kratochvil2.20811911173WAug 19 · 20:25Z. Vyskocil2.25891171C. Kratochvil1.5711117113
V. Koutnik10
WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113LSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123WSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik2.751211113T. Hnizdil1.4010460LSep 3 · 10:55V. Koutnik2.20118971O. Knazik1.6161111113WAug 26 · 14:35F. Dvorak1.4581070V. Koutnik2.601112113WAug 26 · 13:25A. Jr2.50119661V. Koutnik1.5091111113LAug 26 · 12:25V. Koutnik2.63671181F. Dvorak1.4411116113
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