TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114146
Played Sep 11Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114116––––
Tomas Rein
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:27 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dominik Rek to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Tomas Rein below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Dominik Rek at 70.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 9–1 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:27What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Rek
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1408 vs Rein 1538
Rein
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 20% vs Rein 40%
Rein
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 10% vs Rein 50%
Rein
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek -1 · Rein -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Rek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rek form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.33 / Rein 3.25
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Rek)-0.9pp
TT Cup · #13114146
Rek1.33
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 65 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60
Rein3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 96 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRek9wins
AwayRein1wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek100%5 of 5
AwayRein20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S2Rek8Rein2n = 10Rek took 8 of 10
S3Rek5Rein5n = 10split evenly
S4Rek4Rein1n = 5Rek took 4 of 5
S5Rek5Rein0n = 5Rek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRekReinRek − ReinBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.3+5.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekReinBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 236 vs 388 / 83458.9%46.5%139 / 236 vs 388 / 834Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.33/Rein 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 21 · 14:55L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—3770
WJun 24 · 12:20L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—7460
WMay 22 · 18:20L. Rek—411711123T. Rein—119117102
WMay 20 · 14:50L. Rek—941111113T. Rein—11112782
WMay 18 · 14:55L. Rek—511911113T. Rein—11411742
WMay 17 · 07:25L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—3830
WMay 9 · 22:24L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—8750
WMay 9 · 20:55L. Rek—1111210143T. Rein—991112122
WApr 21 · 16:20L. Rek—715511133T. Rein—1113119112
LJan 2 · 19:50L. Rek—7450T. Rein—1111113
L. Rek10
LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890LSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113LSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861LSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780LAug 31 · 10:35J. Sebl1.67118135113L. Rek2.10411111152
T. Rein10
LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113WSep 6 · 22:35T. Rein1.921211113L. Vich1.7810540
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.