TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117695
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214611––––
Petr Vodal
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Rein to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 61 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Tomas Rein at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 39–37 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 37 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:54What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vodal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-37 in 76
Rein
Wrong
gap of 2 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rein 1470 vs Vodal 1401
Rein
Wrong
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rein 0% vs Vodal 60%
Vodal
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rein 20% vs Vodal 50%
Vodal
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rein -5 · Vodal +1
Rein
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Vodal) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rein form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 2.10 / Vodal 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Vodal)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13117695
Rein2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog35% won 96 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 91
Vodal1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 50 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRein6wins
AwayVodal4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRein leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein66.7%4 of 6
AwayVodal50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein6Vodal4n = 10Rein took 6 of 10
S2Rein5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S3Rein8Vodal2n = 10Rein took 8 of 10
S4Rein4Vodal4n = 8split evenly
S5Rein2Vodal3n = 5Vodal took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricReinVodalR − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.1+3.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 838 vs 249 / 48546.3%51.3%388 / 838 vs 249 / 485Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VodalRein 2.10/Vodal 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Vodal · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vodal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein—771211113P. Vodal—111110972
WSep 5 · 08:55T. Rein—141114163P. Vodal—121312141
WAug 30 · 11:20T. Rein—71212113P. Vodal—11101031
WAug 29 · 12:55T. Rein—1111113P. Vodal—5470
WAug 27 · 15:50T. Rein—118116113P. Vodal—51141182
LAug 25 · 14:50T. Rein—114111152P. Vodal—911139113
LAug 22 · 06:55T. Rein—116991P. Vodal—71111113
WAug 21 · 17:50T. Rein—1112113P. Vodal—51030
LAug 21 · 14:20T. Rein—71111992P. Vodal—116911113
LAug 16 · 11:25T. Rein—91111842P. Vodal—113811113
T. Rein10
LSep 12 · 06:55T. Rein2.2595150B. Budik1.581111173LSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870
P. Vodal10
WSep 12 · 07:25C. Kratochvil2.25610110P. Vodal1.571112133LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870WSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123LSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972
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