Lukas Dominik Rek vs Tomas Rein 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13116151

Played Sep 11Finished

Lukas Dominik Rek

Home

1.30

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

118611811115116

Tomas Rein

Away

3.40

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Tomas Rein below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-5

Set 5 · 11-6

Point 88 set 5, 11-6

88 points played in total.

H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 10–1 Tomas Rein Tomas Rein has won 1 of their 11 meetings.

Last 10 · 10–0Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Rek beat Rein 3-0.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Rek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Rek form (40%) is below what odds imply (77%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsRek 1.30 / Rein 3.40

Signal prob.76% / 24%

Edge (Rek)+3.5pp

TT Cup · #13116151

Rek1.30

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 65 of 107

Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35

Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60

Rein3.40

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog35% won 96 of 275

Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 165

Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 89

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeRek10wins

AwayRein0wins

5 of 10 to a deciderRek leads 10–0, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeRek100%6 of 6

AwayRein0%0 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Rek6Rein4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10

S2Rek9Rein1n = 10Rek took 9 of 10

S3Rek6Rein4n = 10Rek took 6 of 10

S4Rek4Rein1n = 5Rek took 4 of 5

S5Rek5Rein0n = 5Rek took 5 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home550%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home550%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricRekReinRek − ReinBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.231.9+8.3per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricRekReinBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 238 vs 388 / 83658.8%46.4%140 / 238 vs 388 / 836Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Rek

Rek 1.30/Rein 3.40

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

75.8%

Rek · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Rek won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—9460

WJul 21 · 14:55L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—3770

WJun 24 · 12:20L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—7460

WMay 22 · 18:20L. Rek—411711123T. Rein—119117102

WMay 20 · 14:50L. Rek—941111113T. Rein—11112782

WMay 18 · 14:55L. Rek—511911113T. Rein—11411742

WMay 17 · 07:25L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—3830

WMay 9 · 22:24L. Rek—1111113T. Rein—8750

WMay 9 · 20:55L. Rek—1111210143T. Rein—991112122

WApr 21 · 16:20L. Rek—715511133T. Rein—1113119112

L. Rek10

LSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113 WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460 LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113 WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113 LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101 LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113 LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772 LSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890 LSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113 LSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861

T. Rein10

LSep 11 · 16:50T. Rein1.67511691J. Sebl2.1011911113 LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460 LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241 WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941 LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113 LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780 WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113 LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870 WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101 WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972

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