TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114165
Played Sep 11Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811511311––––
Daniel Zelezny
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:26 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Dominik Rek to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 49 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Lukas Dominik Rek at 61.9%
49 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 2–0 Daniel Zelezny Daniel Zelezny has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Rek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Rek 1427 vs Zelezny 1540
Zelezny
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 40% vs Zelezny 80%
Zelezny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 20% vs Zelezny 70%
Zelezny
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Zelezny +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Rek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.40 / Zelezny 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Rek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13114165
Rek1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 65 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it89% 31 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 45 of 60
Zelezny2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 6 of 16
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRek2wins
AwayZelezny0wins
Rek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRekZeleznyR − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.027.5+9.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 237 vs 106 / 20059.1%53%140 / 237 vs 106 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.040.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RekRek 1.40/Zelezny 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Rek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJun 1 · 17:25L. Rek—11511113D. Zelezny—711781
WJun 1 · 15:20L. Rek—1111143D. Zelezny—73120
L. Rek10
WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890LSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113LSep 5 · 11:55J. Sebl1.73101111113L. Rek2.00125861LSep 5 · 11:25A. Jr2.381111113L. Rek1.538780
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972
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