TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12160701
Played Jul 4Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181012811118118
Petr Vodal
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Petr Vodal below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 98 set 5, 11-8
98 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 20–16 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vodal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vodal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.83 / Vodal 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vodal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12160701
Zelezny1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vodal1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelezny6wins
AwayVodal4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderZelezny leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezny75%3 of 4
AwayVodal50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10
S2Zelezny5Vodal5n = 10split evenly
S3Zelezny7Vodal3n = 10Zelezny took 7 of 10
S4Zelezny5Vodal4n = 9Zelezny took 5 of 9
S5Zelezny4Vodal3n = 7Zelezny took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZeleznyVodalZ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.843.4+2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 453 vs 376 / 73353.2%51.3%241 / 453 vs 376 / 733Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VodalZelezny 1.83/Vodal 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vodal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny—561211113P. Vodal—111110852
LJun 27 · 18:30D. Zelezny—71161162P. Vodal—119115113
WJun 27 · 15:55D. Zelezny—1110611113P. Vodal—81211692
LJun 4 · 15:20D. Zelezny—13118101P. Vodal—15711123
WJun 1 · 14:50D. Zelezny—7111110113P. Vodal—11661282
LMay 29 · 15:20D. Zelezny—1811111382P. Vodal—205615113
WFeb 28 · 15:55D. Zelezny—1115113P. Vodal—81360
WFeb 28 · 12:25D. Zelezny—751111113P. Vodal—11114782
WJan 25 · 09:55D. Zelezny—11711133P. Vodal—8118111
LJan 24 · 12:55D. Zelezny—11811792P. Vodal—911311113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113
P. Vodal10
LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870WSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123LSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972LJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.