Daniel Zelezny vs Petr Vodal 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #12154696

Played Jul 4Finished

Daniel Zelezny

Home

1.73

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

5116111210118115

Petr Vodal

Away

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

8–2Last 10Won last 1

How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Petr Vodal below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 6-11

Set 3 · 12-10

Set 4 · 11-8

Set 5 · 11-5

Point 90 set 5, 11-5

90 points played in total.

H2H Daniel Zelezny 18–15 Petr Vodal Petr Vodal has won 15 of their 33 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezny)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Vodal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsZelezny 1.73 / Vodal 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Zelezny)+0.3pp

TT Cup · #12154696

Zelezny1.73

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite54% won 45 of 83

Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18

Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41

Vodal2.00

80%won 8 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog55% won 46 of 84

Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40

Down 0–2, comes back18% 3 of 17

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeZelezny5wins

AwayVodal5wins

5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeZelezny75%3 of 4

AwayVodal66.7%4 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Zelezny4Vodal6n = 10Vodal took 6 of 10

S2Zelezny5Vodal5n = 10split evenly

S3Zelezny9Vodal1n = 10Zelezny took 9 of 10

S4Zelezny3Vodal6n = 9Vodal took 6 of 9

S5Zelezny2Vodal3n = 5Vodal took 3 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricZeleznyVodalZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.341.6+3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricZeleznyVodalBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 453 vs 376 / 73353.2%51.3%241 / 453 vs 376 / 733Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Zelezny

Zelezny 1.73/Vodal 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Zelezny · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Zelezny won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LJun 4 · 15:20D. Zelezny—13118101P. Vodal—15711123

WJun 1 · 14:50D. Zelezny—7111110113P. Vodal—11661282

LMay 29 · 15:20D. Zelezny—1811111382P. Vodal—205615113

WFeb 28 · 15:55D. Zelezny—1115113P. Vodal—81360

WFeb 28 · 12:25D. Zelezny—751111113P. Vodal—11114782

WJan 25 · 09:55D. Zelezny—11711133P. Vodal—8118111

LJan 24 · 12:55D. Zelezny—11811792P. Vodal—911311113

LJan 18 · 18:35D. Zelezny—91111992P. Vodal—114611113

LJan 18 · 16:20D. Zelezny—10811101P. Vodal—12118123

WJan 4 · 17:20D. Zelezny—11911113P. Vodal—911771

D. Zelezny10

LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792 WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241 WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992 LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113 WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540 WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520 WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882 LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382 LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972 WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113

P. Vodal10

LSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870 WSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123 LSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133 WSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113 LSep 6 · 10:04J. Dohnal1.83111135113P. Vodal1.8364111192 WSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113 WSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192 LSep 6 · 06:20J. Dohnal1.801181011113P. Vodal1.9171112962 LSep 5 · 10:20T. Rein1.73771211113P. Vodal2.00111110972 LJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882

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