TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12260524
Played Jul 18Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
2.29
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117511119119
Christian Kratochvil
Away
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-8
Point 92 set 5, 10-8
92 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 2–2 Christian Kratochvil Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kratochvil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 2.29 / Kratochvil 1.51
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zelezny)+6.3pp
TT Cup · #12260524
Zelezny2.29
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Kratochvil1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 64 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it81% 47 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZelezny2wins
AwayKratochvil2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezny66.7%2 of 3
AwayKratochviln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny3Kratochvil1n = 4Zelezny took 3 of 4
S2Zelezny2Kratochvil2n = 4split evenly
S3Zelezny3Kratochvil1n = 4Zelezny took 3 of 4
S4Zelezny1Kratochvil2n = 3Kratochvil took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZeleznyKratochvilZ − KBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.539.2−1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 230 vs 234 / 41155.7%56.9%128 / 230 vs 234 / 411Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 2.29/Kratochvil 1.51
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kratochvil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 16 · 16:25D. Zelezny—41111892C. Kratochvil—118811113
WDec 28 · 10:20D. Zelezny—111112123C. Kratochvil—71310101
WDec 28 · 07:50D. Zelezny—1111123C. Kratochvil—99100
LOct 21 · 17:10D. Zelezny—113491C. Kratochvil—71111113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781LSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992LSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113WJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113
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