TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12256777
Played Jul 18Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111197111210611
Christian Kratochvil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Christian Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 97 set 5, 6-11
97 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 2–3 Christian Kratochvil Daniel Zelezny has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 1.73 / Kratochvil 2.00
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Zelezny)+6.0pp
TT Cup · #12256777
Zelezny1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 45 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it83% 15 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it74% 31 of 42
Kratochvil2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog59% won 10 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back38% 3 of 8
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZelezny2wins
AwayKratochvil3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKratochvil leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezny66.7%2 of 3
AwayKratochviln = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny3Kratochvil2n = 5Zelezny took 3 of 5
S2Zelezny3Kratochvil2n = 5Zelezny took 3 of 5
S3Zelezny3Kratochvil2n = 5Zelezny took 3 of 5
S4Zelezny2Kratochvil2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricZeleznyKratochvilZ − KBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.041.8−2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 231 vs 235 / 41255.4%57%128 / 231 vs 235 / 412Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyZelezny 1.73/Kratochvil 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kratochvil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny—91171262C. Kratochvil—1191110113
LMay 16 · 16:25D. Zelezny—41111892C. Kratochvil—118811113
WDec 28 · 10:20D. Zelezny—111112123C. Kratochvil—71310101
WDec 28 · 07:50D. Zelezny—1111123C. Kratochvil—99100
LOct 21 · 17:10D. Zelezny—113491C. Kratochvil—71111113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113
C. Kratochvil10
LSep 8 · 17:55J. Osmera1.7391111113C. Kratochvil2.00116781LSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 15:55J. Osmera1.73511411113C. Kratochvil2.0011911992LSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291WAug 31 · 22:25C. Kratochvil1.9012811123M. Juhasz1.8010119101WAug 31 · 21:25C. Kratochvil1.571111113Z. Vyskocil2.259950WAug 31 · 19:55M. Juhasz1.6111128141C. Kratochvil2.2051411163LAug 31 · 19:25T. Barsa1.80811118113C. Kratochvil1.9111781192LAug 19 · 22:35C. Kratochvil3.1567111182T. Barsa1.30111179113LJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992
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