TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12256774
Played Jul 18Finished
Daniel Zelezny
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115114––––
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDaniel Zelezny above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4
55 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Zelezny 2–4 Tomas Hnizdil Daniel Zelezny has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hnizdil form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezny 2.38 / Hnizdil 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Hnizdil)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12256774
Zelezny2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 15 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back22% 5 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Hnizdil1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 52 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it88% 29 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it87% 39 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeZelezny2wins
AwayHnizdil4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderHnizdil leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZeleznyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHnizdil100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezny2Hnizdil4n = 6Hnizdil took 4 of 6
S2Zelezny4Hnizdil2n = 6Zelezny took 4 of 6
S3Zelezny4Hnizdil2n = 6Zelezny took 4 of 6
S4Zelezny0Hnizdil3n = 3Hnizdil took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricZeleznyHnizdilZ − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match33.335.3−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZeleznyHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 230 vs 180 / 30355.7%59.4%128 / 230 vs 180 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilZelezny 2.38/Hnizdil 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.8%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny—1311113T. Hnizdil—11540
LFeb 28 · 15:30D. Zelezny—101111582T. Hnizdil—125811113
LFeb 28 · 12:55D. Zelezny—7111241T. Hnizdil—111310113
WFeb 14 · 12:25D. Zelezny—1111113T. Hnizdil—9870
LJan 28 · 16:20D. Zelezny—91060T. Hnizdil—1112113
LMar 8 · 12:20D. Zelezny—511931T. Hnizdil—11911113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870LSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102WSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861LSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962WSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143
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