TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112516
Played Sep 11Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101213116111141210
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:13 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVojtech Koutnik above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 100 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 62.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 6–7 Tomas Hnizdil Vojtech Koutnik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hnizdil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1584 vs Hnizdil 1608
Hnizdil
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 60% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 60% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik -2 · Hnizdil +3
Hnizdil
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hnizdil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 2.50 / Hnizdil 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Hnizdil)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13112516
Koutnik2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 51 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back37% 20 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Hnizdil1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite66% won 47 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik4wins
AwayHnizdil6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHnizdil leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnik75%3 of 4
AwayHnizdil83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik4Hnizdil6n = 10Hnizdil took 6 of 10
S2Koutnik6Hnizdil4n = 10Koutnik took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik1Hnizdil9n = 10Hnizdil took 9 of 10
S4Koutnik4Hnizdil2n = 6Koutnik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikHnizdilK − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.736.4−3.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 346 vs 147 / 24746.8%59.5%162 / 346 vs 147 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilKoutnik 2.50/Hnizdil 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik—1013611123T. Hnizdil—1211114102
WSep 3 · 11:55V. Koutnik—1211113T. Hnizdil—10460
LMar 21 · 09:55V. Koutnik—6660T. Hnizdil—1111113
LMar 2 · 14:25V. Koutnik—5111081T. Hnizdil—11812113
LDec 6 · 15:00V. Koutnik—311861T. Hnizdil—11811113
WDec 6 · 13:55V. Koutnik—11114113T. Hnizdil—871181
LAug 31 · 07:55V. Koutnik—119121132T. Hnizdil—911143113
LJul 20 · 09:20V. Koutnik—7620T. Hnizdil—1111113
LJul 20 · 07:20V. Koutnik—7980T. Hnizdil—1111113
WMar 23 · 10:25V. Koutnik—11116113T. Hnizdil—991131
V. Koutnik10
LSep 12 · 10:55L. Rek1.801112113V. Koutnik1.9191080WSep 11 · 10:00B. Budik1.9581171282V. Koutnik1.751191110113LSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113WSep 10 · 10:35V. Koutnik1.671111113F. Dvorak2.108870WSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113WSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113WSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 11 · 10:30T. Hnizdil1.251211113P. Vodal3.7510870WSep 11 · 08:25P. Vodal3.405711111T. Hnizdil1.3011117133WSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hnizdil1.2791111113F. Dvorak3.30118861LSep 9 · 12:50A. Jr3.751113511113T. Hnizdil1.25131111962WSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143WSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113
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