TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13111190
Played Sep 11Finished
Vojtech Koutnik
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118711119911
Bohuslav Budik
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
811118711119911
H2H Vojtech Koutnik 10–19 Bohuslav Budik Vojtech Koutnik has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Koutnik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-19 in 29
Budik
Correct
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koutnik 1570 vs Budik 1570
Budik
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koutnik 80% vs Budik 20%
Koutnik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koutnik 70% vs Budik 40%
Koutnik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koutnik -1 · Budik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoutnik 1.71 / Budik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Koutnik)+0.1pp
TT Cup · #13111190
Koutnik1.71
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it68% 27 of 40
Budik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back34% 25 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoutnik3wins
AwayBudik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBudik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoutnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBudik75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koutnik2Budik8n = 10Budik took 8 of 10
S2Koutnik4Budik6n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S3Koutnik7Budik3n = 10Koutnik took 7 of 10
S4Koutnik4Budik6n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S5Koutnik2Budik3n = 5Budik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoutnikBudikK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match40.643.6−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoutnikBudikBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 343 vs 223 / 50746.7%44%160 / 343 vs 223 / 507Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikKoutnik 1.71/Budik 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Budik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 5 · 07:25V. Koutnik—111155102B. Budik—691111123
LMar 29 · 10:00V. Koutnik—681181B. Budik—11115113
LMar 29 · 08:25V. Koutnik—912711122B. Budik—1110115143
LMar 29 · 07:25V. Koutnik—912711122B. Budik—1110115143
LMar 8 · 08:25V. Koutnik—241161B. Budik—11117113
LMar 5 · 12:20V. Koutnik—191161B. Budik—11119113
WDec 20 · 14:25V. Koutnik—11911143B. Budik—7113121
LDec 7 · 12:55V. Koutnik—9141161B. Budik—11166113
WNov 1 · 18:25V. Koutnik—911119113B. Budik—11881192
WNov 1 · 17:20V. Koutnik—112111183B. Budik—13115662
V. Koutnik10
LSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113WSep 10 · 10:35V. Koutnik1.671111113F. Dvorak2.108870WSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113WSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113WSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123WSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153LSep 3 · 14:39V. Koutnik2.25441161O. Knazik1.5711119113WSep 3 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.611181110113T. Rein2.2091181272
B. Budik10
LSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 8 · 21:20L. Jirka1.80851191B. Budik1.9111118113LSep 8 · 20:50B. Budik1.75781261J. Dohnal1.95111110113LSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka1.861012911113B. Budik1.80121011852WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131WSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113WSep 5 · 10:50B. Budik2.009111011113T. Hnizdil1.7211512672
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