TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117713
Played Sep 12Finished
Lukas Dominik Rek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210118––––
Vojtech Koutnik
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Koutnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLukas Dominik Rek above · Vojtech Koutnik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vojtech Koutnik at 54.0%
61 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dominik Rek 4–4 Vojtech Koutnik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 23:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Rek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rek 1430 vs Koutnik 1584
Koutnik
Wrong
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rek 60% vs Koutnik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rek 30% vs Koutnik 70%
Koutnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rek +1 · Koutnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRek 1.80 / Koutnik 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Koutnik)+5.5pp
TT Cup · #13117713
Rek1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 67 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it76% 47 of 62
Koutnik1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 52 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back38% 21 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeRek4wins
AwayKoutnik4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRek75%3 of 4
AwayKoutnik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rek4Koutnik4n = 8split evenly
S2Rek4Koutnik4n = 8split evenly
S3Rek4Koutnik4n = 8split evenly
S4Rek3Koutnik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricRekKoutnikR − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.137.0−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRekKoutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 239 vs 162 / 34659%46.8%141 / 239 vs 162 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikRek 1.80/Koutnik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 21 · 18:38L. Rek—811831V. Koutnik—11611113
WJul 21 · 15:55L. Rek—1311113V. Koutnik—11840
LJun 26 · 14:55L. Rek—78111142V. Koutnik—111179113
LMay 18 · 18:35L. Rek—117511V. Koutnik—91111113
LMay 18 · 16:25L. Rek—12880V. Koutnik—1411113
WMay 17 · 07:55L. Rek—119116113V. Koutnik—81151162
WMay 13 · 14:50L. Rek—81111143V. Koutnik—1166121
WMay 9 · 19:55L. Rek—11116113V. Koutnik—691151
L. Rek10
WSep 11 · 17:23L. Rek1.30116811113T. Rein3.4081111562LSep 11 · 16:20L. Rek1.408530D. Zelezny2.751111113WSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:20L. Rek2.257760J. Sebl1.571111113WSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:25J. Sebl1.5791111123L. Rek2.251174101LSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113LSep 6 · 10:55A. Jr2.001181111113L. Rek1.7313115772LSep 5 · 14:02J. Sebl1.301111113L. Rek3.408890LSep 5 · 13:25L. Rek1.67127951J. Dohnal2.10101111113
V. Koutnik10
WSep 11 · 10:00B. Budik1.9581171282V. Koutnik1.751191110113WSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102LSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113WSep 10 · 10:35V. Koutnik1.671111113F. Dvorak2.108870WSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113WSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113WSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.