TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13114296
Played Sep 11Finished
Bohuslav Budik
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111197111210811
Vojtech Koutnik
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingBohuslav Budik above · Vojtech Koutnik below
Set 1 · 7-4
Point 11 set 1, 7-4
11 points drawn · the score is 87 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Bohuslav Budik 21–10 Vojtech Koutnik Vojtech Koutnik has won 10 of their 31 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Budik beat Koutnik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Koutnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budik form (40%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBudik 1.95 / Koutnik 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Koutnik)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #13114296
Budik1.95
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back34% 25 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Koutnik1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 37 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 15 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it68% 27 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBudik9wins
AwayKoutnik1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBudik leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBudik100%7 of 7
AwayKoutnik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Budik7Koutnik3n = 10Budik took 7 of 10
S2Budik6Koutnik4n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S3Budik5Koutnik5n = 10split evenly
S4Budik6Koutnik4n = 10Budik took 6 of 10
S5Budik4Koutnik0n = 4Budik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBudikKoutnikB − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.839.5+4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBudikKoutnikBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 510 vs 161 / 34644.1%46.5%225 / 510 vs 161 / 346Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoutnikBudik 1.95/Koutnik 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Koutnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Koutnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:55B. Budik—118119113V. Koutnik—81171192
WAug 23 · 10:55B. Budik—61111123V. Koutnik—1179101
WJun 5 · 07:25B. Budik—691111123V. Koutnik—111155102
WMar 29 · 10:00B. Budik—11115113V. Koutnik—681181
WMar 29 · 08:25B. Budik—1110115143V. Koutnik—912711122
WMar 29 · 07:25B. Budik—1110115143V. Koutnik—912711122
WMar 8 · 08:25B. Budik—11117113V. Koutnik—241161
WMar 5 · 12:20B. Budik—11119113V. Koutnik—191161
LDec 20 · 14:25B. Budik—7113121V. Koutnik—11911143
WDec 7 · 12:55B. Budik—11166113V. Koutnik—9141161
B. Budik10
LSep 11 · 09:25B. Budik1.711178101P. Vodal2.0041111123WSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 07:25T. Hnizdil1.6581111123B. Budik2.101178101WSep 8 · 21:20L. Jirka1.80851191B. Budik1.9111118113LSep 8 · 20:50B. Budik1.75781261J. Dohnal1.95111110113LSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:50L. Jirka1.861012911113B. Budik1.80121011852WSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890LSep 6 · 08:50B. Budik1.5361181192P. Vodal2.38117119113LSep 6 · 07:20J. Dohnal1.73111111153B. Budik2.007913131
V. Koutnik10
WSep 11 · 08:55V. Koutnik2.501013611123T. Hnizdil1.501211114102LSep 11 · 07:55V. Koutnik1.7181171192B. Budik2.00118119113LSep 11 · 06:55V. Koutnik1.5761111872P. Vodal2.25116611113WSep 10 · 10:35V. Koutnik1.671111113F. Dvorak2.108870WSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113WSep 10 · 08:25V. Koutnik2.101111113J. Osmera1.676950WSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113WSep 8 · 17:25C. Kratochvil1.7310840V. Koutnik2.001211113LSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123WSep 8 · 14:55J. Osmera1.619114131V. Koutnik2.2011911153
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