TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101582
Played Sep 9Finished
Ales Brandtl Jr
Home
3.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131311511119116
Tomas Hnizdil
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:08 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeTomas Hnizdil to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAles Brandtl Jr above · Tomas Hnizdil below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 101 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Hnizdil at 79.4%
101 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Jr 0–5 Tomas Hnizdil Ales Brandtl Jr has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Hnizdil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Hnizdil
Wrong
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1412 vs Hnizdil 1609
Hnizdil
Wrong
both rated, 196 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Hnizdil 80%
Hnizdil
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Hnizdil 60%
Hnizdil
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -4 · Hnizdil +2
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hnizdil)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 3.75 / Hnizdil 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Hnizdil)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13101582
Jr3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 80 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back29% 32 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 62
Hnizdil1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 44 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJr0wins
AwayHnizdil5wins
2 of 5 to a deciderHnizdil leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHnizdil100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Hnizdil3n = 5Hnizdil took 3 of 5
S2Jr2Hnizdil3n = 5Hnizdil took 3 of 5
S3Jr1Hnizdil4n = 5Hnizdil took 4 of 5
S4Jr1Hnizdil3n = 4Hnizdil took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJrHnizdilJ − HBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match30.843.0−12.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrHnizdilBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 539 vs 146 / 24846.8%58.9%252 / 539 vs 146 / 248Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HnizdilJr 3.75/Hnizdil 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
79.4%
Hnizdil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr—79120T. Hnizdil—1111143
LJul 15 · 08:55A. Jr—511831T. Hnizdil—11711113
LJul 14 · 07:25A. Jr—811651T. Hnizdil—11911113
LJul 29 · 07:20A. Jr—11511442T. Hnizdil—711711113
LJul 9 · 06:50A. Jr—11451132T. Hnizdil—811119113
A. Jr10
LSep 9 · 13:30T. Jr2.0041111113A. Jr1.73116581LSep 9 · 11:20F. Dvorak1.731111113A. Jr2.008680LSep 9 · 10:50T. Jr2.001111411113A. Jr1.7313911972LSep 8 · 18:25A. Jr2.205101281V. Koutnik1.60111210113LSep 8 · 16:55J. Osmera1.53811116113A. Jr2.3811871172WSep 8 · 16:25V. Koutnik1.5311712101A. Jr2.3871114123WSep 8 · 15:25A. Jr2.2011711113C. Kratochvil1.61911291LSep 6 · 14:04A. Jr1.837680L. Rek1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143LSep 6 · 11:55A. Jr3.25912100J. Sebl1.331114123
T. Hnizdil10
WSep 9 · 11:50T. Hnizdil1.4011119123T. Jr2.755711101WSep 9 · 10:20F. Dvorak3.2517170T. Hnizdil1.331911113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Hnizdil1.46911781J. Sebl2.5411911113WSep 6 · 12:55A. Jr3.2579120T. Hnizdil1.331111143WSep 6 · 12:25L. Rek2.755970T. Hnizdil1.401111113WSep 6 · 11:25T. Hnizdil1.40118118113J. Sebl2.7581171112LSep 6 · 09:35B. Budik1.441111113T. Hnizdil2.608890WSep 6 · 08:20J. Dohnal2.10157681T. Hnizdil1.67131111113LSep 6 · 07:50P. Vodal3.75116118113T. Hnizdil1.2581171192LSep 6 · 06:50T. Hnizdil1.5791461182B. Budik2.251112118113
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