TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12116110
Played Jun 28Finished
Jean-Baptiste Cousin
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118141613111012411
Daniel Zelezny
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJean-Baptiste Cousin above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 110 set 5, 4-11
110 points played in total.
H2H Jean-Baptiste Cousin 9–25 Daniel Zelezny Jean-Baptiste Cousin has won 9 of their 34 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCousin 2.38 / Zelezny 1.53
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Zelezny)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #12116110
Cousin2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog45% won 34 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back30% 11 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Zelezny1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 43 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCousin2wins
AwayZelezny8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZelezny leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCousinn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayZelezny80%8 of 10
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cousin0Zelezny10n = 10Zelezny took 10 of 10
S2Cousin5Zelezny5n = 10split evenly
S3Cousin4Zelezny6n = 10Zelezny took 6 of 10
S4Cousin3Zelezny5n = 8Zelezny took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCousinZeleznyC − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set010−10of 10Avg pointsper match35.941.4−5.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCousinZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 499 vs 239 / 45055.5%53.1%277 / 499 vs 239 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyCousin 2.38/Zelezny 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zelezny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 28 · 07:55J. Cousin—91611123D. Zelezny—11148101
LJun 27 · 14:55J. Cousin—10111191D. Zelezny—12136113
LJun 4 · 18:00J. Cousin—711551D. Zelezny—11911113
WJun 4 · 14:50J. Cousin—511414143D. Zelezny—1191112122
LApr 16 · 15:55J. Cousin—611871D. Zelezny—11411113
LMar 8 · 08:50J. Cousin—651181D. Zelezny—11117113
LMar 7 · 13:25J. Cousin—99120D. Zelezny—1111143
LFeb 28 · 19:30J. Cousin—61060D. Zelezny—1112113
LFeb 28 · 17:25J. Cousin—811681D. Zelezny—11611113
LJan 28 · 18:15J. Cousin—88111192D. Zelezny—111158113
J. Cousin10
WAug 25 · 22:25L. Jirka1.57145571J. Cousin2.25121111113WAug 25 · 21:25P. Kubat2.255990J. Cousin1.571111113LAug 25 · 20:25J. Cousin2.00871171L. Jirka1.7311117113WAug 25 · 18:55M. Boltik1.5381080J. Cousin2.381112113WAug 23 · 13:58V. Koutnik1.8381181192J. Cousin1.83119118113LAug 23 · 12:55V. Koutnik1.91111110113J. Cousin1.80971221LAug 23 · 12:25B. Budik1.761112113J. Cousin1.9051080LAug 23 · 11:25J. Cousin1.801111108102P. Vodal1.91961211123LAug 22 · 13:54A. Jr1.8011116113J. Cousin1.91891181LAug 22 · 12:55J. Cousin2.102470J. Sebl1.671111113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:55T. Rein2.751171111113D. Zelezny1.4013117382LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972
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