TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12154748
Played Jul 4Finished
Tomas Rein
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113711117113118
Daniel Zelezny
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingTomas Rein above · Daniel Zelezny below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Rein 2–3 Daniel Zelezny Tomas Rein has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zelezny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezny form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRein 2.75 / Zelezny 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Zelezny)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12154748
Rein2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 77 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back20% 23 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Zelezny1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 45 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeRein2wins
AwayZelezny3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderZelezny leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRein66.7%2 of 3
AwayZeleznyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rein3Zelezny2n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S2Rein3Zelezny2n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S3Rein3Zelezny2n = 5Rein took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricReinZeleznyR − ZBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match32.434.0−1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReinZeleznyBasisWin rate · lifetime542 / 1116 vs 241 / 45248.6%53.3%542 / 1116 vs 241 / 452Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZeleznyRein 2.75/Zelezny 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.3%
Zelezny · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rein won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 4 · 16:50T. Rein—71060D. Zelezny—1112113
WMay 29 · 17:20T. Rein—1111113D. Zelezny—9880
LMay 29 · 14:50T. Rein—1174101D. Zelezny—41111123
WMay 16 · 18:03T. Rein—1111113D. Zelezny—9880
LMay 16 · 15:25T. Rein—71211382D. Zelezny—1110511113
T. Rein10
LSep 11 · 15:20L. Rek1.331111113T. Rein3.259460LSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WSep 10 · 10:04T. Rein2.3811711113J. Osmera1.53711941LSep 10 · 09:25T. Rein2.2061161152V. Koutnik1.61119115113LSep 10 · 07:55F. Dvorak1.331111113T. Rein3.257780WSep 10 · 07:25J. Osmera1.33126991T. Rein3.25101111113LSep 8 · 21:48J. Dohnal1.611111113T. Rein2.205870WSep 8 · 20:20T. Rein3.0081114123L. Jirka1.3611312101WSep 8 · 19:20T. Rein2.15711911113B. Budik1.5811111972LSep 8 · 18:20T. Rein2.2598111162J. Dohnal1.57111167113
D. Zelezny10
LSep 11 · 15:50J. Sebl2.00126911113D. Zelezny1.73101111792WSep 11 · 14:50D. Zelezny1.44111110113T. Rein2.63691241WJul 18 · 14:24D. Zelezny2.29911511113C. Kratochvil1.5111711992LJul 18 · 12:55D. Zelezny1.7391171262C. Kratochvil2.001191110113WJul 18 · 11:55D. Zelezny2.381311113T. Hnizdil1.5311540WJul 18 · 10:55D. Zelezny2.001111113O. Knazik1.738520WJul 4 · 14:04D. Zelezny1.831110811113P. Vodal1.8381211882WJul 4 · 13:25D. Zelezny1.73561211113P. Vodal2.00111110852LJul 4 · 11:25A. Jr3.50581111113D. Zelezny1.2811116972WJun 28 · 10:30J. Cousin2.381114131042D. Zelezny1.538161112113
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